There's not much order here, but floods have never, from what I've observed, overlapped. And they tend not to follow each other in quick succession. According to different accounts, this started before the last flood.

The only way I can think that this would be the Admiral is... if we've got a leak somewhere. So it's like a breach, but slower instead of instantaneous. Which means there's nothing we can do about it. But that's a long-shot.